More Democrats have cast ballots statewide than Republicans, but the trajectory of turnout is actually better for the Republicans at this point in the cycle than it was in 2024 when they carried Florida by 13 points.
This having been said there are major caveats in the data and the composition to vote in terms of geography and counties might change significantly between now and election day- and that would favor the Democrats.
More Democrats have cast ballots statewide than Republicans, but the trajectory of turnout is actually better for the Republicans at this point in the cycle than it was in 2024 when they carried Florida by 13 points.
This having been said there are major caveats in the data and the composition to vote in terms of geography and counties might change significantly between now and election day- and that would favor the Democrats.
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