Next Indian Elections

With victories in Iowa and New Hampshire, Donald Trump has essentially secured the Republican nomination, setting up a rematch of 2020.

While Republican Presidential candidates are falling in line behind Trump, Joe Biden's approval is 14 points worse than Trump's was heading into a re-election year.

What does that mean for the general election? Here's my 2024 election map prediction for all 50 states, based on current polls.

This 2024 Electoral College map prediction was made using polls conducted and published prior to January 30, 2023.

0:00 Intro
0:20 Safe Biden States
0:46 Safe Trump States
1:13 National Polls
1:45 Alaska
2:01 Iowa
2:23 Texas
2:48 Ohio
3:30 Florida
4:05 Maine CD-2
4:29 New Mexico
4:49 Colorado
5:07 New Hampshire
5:48 Minnesota
6:17 Virginia
7:00 Swing States
7:16 North Carolina
8:07 Georgia
9:06 Arizona
10:21 Nevada
11:19 Maine At-Large
12:14 Pennsylvania
13:09 Wisconsin
14:04 Nebraska CD-2
14:47 Michigan
16:32 Shifts To Start 2024

RATINGS
Tilt: Polling lead of less than 2%
Lean: Polling lead of 2–5%
Likely: Polling lead of 5–10%
Safe: Polling lead of greater than 10%

All polls sourced from: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/

Map built using Yet Another Political Map Simulator: yapms.com

When a poll surveyed both likely voters and registered voters, likely voter samples were used in averages.

👋 Follow me on Twitter (or X, whatever): https://twitter.com/TheElectoralist

#2024 #trump #biden #polls